American Odds To Implied Probability

The odds converter tool in this page will convert odds from any of the three main formats into the other formats.
It will also calculate the relevant implied probability too.
To use it, simply enter the odds you wish to convert in the appropriate box, and then click the “Convert Odds” button. It’s as easy as that!

1. Convert American Odds To Implied Probability
2. How To Convert American Odds To Probability
3. Implied Probability Calculator
4. Money Line To Implied Probability

If you came to this page specifically looking for a tool to
convert odds, then it’s likely that you already have a
fundamental understanding of what odds are and how they work in
relation to sports betting. If this is a subject that you’re not
particularly familiar with, however, then you might want to read
the following article from our beginner’s guide to sports
betting.

1. In other words, odds of 1.65 means that for every 1.00 you place on a particular outcome, you will receive a profit of 0.65 should that outcome prevail. To convert these odds to their respective implied probabilities we make a simple calculation. 1 divided by the.
2. For example, a positive American odds @ +110 would win $110 for a $100 wager. Negative American Odds: The odds indicate how much you must bet in order to make $100 profit. For example a wager on a team with American odds of -90 would win $100 on a $90 bet. Implied Probability Odds correlate to probability e.g a 2/1 bet is expected to win twice.

Implied probability is a conversion of betting odds into a percentage. It takes into account the bookmaker margin to express the expected probability of an outcome occurring. Knowing how to convert betting odds into implied probabilities is fundamental for betting as it helps you assess the potential value on a particular market. The calculator will always display the implied probability of success that each set of odds represents. For example, +200 implies a probability of 33.33%, whereas -500 implies a probability of. Format Definitions: Odds and Probabilities. There are three methods of stating odds that most bookmakers and websites support. Implied Probability is also useful when evaluating a bet or checking how likely an outcome is. Positive Figures (+): The odds state the winnings on a $100 bet. Ex: American odds of +120 would win $120 on.

Overview of Different Odds Formats

If you live in the United States, then simply knowing the
moneyline odds will suffice, as this is the primary format used
by the limited number of gambling sites available for US
residents. Likewise, if you live in the United Kingdom, then you
only really need to know how fractional odds work. If you live
in Europe, then the decimal format is the one that will be most
important for you to understand.

With all that being said, it’s still a good idea to be
familiarized with how each format works. Many online betting
sites will allow you to choose the format that their odds are
displayed in. Please keep in mind that the conversation may
round in their favor.. For example, most US friendly sites offer
moneyline odds of -110 when betting points spreads. If you
choose to bet in the decimal format instead, then you’ll often
be given odds of 1.90. The true conversion is 1.9091 though, so
you’ll potentially lose a small percentage of your winnings if
you bet based on their conversion.

Therefore, it can be an advantage to use the primary format
offered by an online bookmaker, which is why it pays to make
sure you understand each of the different formats. We’ve
explained them all below for you.

American Odds/Moneyline Odds

Odds in this format are expressed as either a positive number
or a negative number. When they are a positive number, the
number represents how much in winnings is paid per $100 staked.
The following examples illustrate how positive moneyline odds
work.

When they are a negative number, the number represents the
amount of money that needs to be staked in order to win $100.
The following examples illustrate how negative moneyline odds
work.

Please see our article on calculating payouts from moneyline
odds for details on how to work out the potential winnings from
wagers using this format.

Decimal Odds

This is the most popular odds format outside of the United
States and is sometimes referred to as European odds. It’s a
very simple format where the odds are expressed as a single
positive number, usually to two decimal places. This number
states how much a winning bet returns (including the initial
stake) for each unit wagered. The following examples illustrate
the decimal format in practice.

Our article explaining how to calculate payouts from decimal
odds will teach you how to work out the potential returns from
wagers placed using this format.

Fractional Odds

Fractional odds are mostly used in the UK, but lately the
decimal format has been becoming more popular. Odds in this
format are displayed as a fraction, as the name suggests. The
first number of the fraction shows how much you can win per the
second number staked. This sounds more complicated that it
actually is and the easiest way to understand this format is
simply to look at some examples.

Please note that when the second number of the fraction is
higher than the first, it means the odds are less than even
money. This is referred to as odds on (as opposed to odds
against), and is the equivalent of when moneyline odds are a
negative number or when decimal odds are a number less than 2.

Odds Conversion Math

Our conversion tool is the easiest way to change odds between
formats but there will be times when you don’t have access to
it. When you’re at a Las Vegas sportsbook or a high street
bookmaker, you may need to be able to do these conversions in
your head. For this reason, we’ll run through the math required
to convert each format into all of the other formats.

Converting Moneyline Odds

To Decimal

The calculations required to convert from moneyline odds
changes depending on whether the odds are positive or negative.
To convert positive odds into decimal odds, the following
calculation is required.

Example: Converting +175

(+175 + 100) / 100 = 2.75

For negative odds, we ignore the minus symbol and use the
following formula.

Example: Converting -110

(110 + 100) / 110 = 1.909

To Fractional

When converting from the moneyline format into the fractional
format, the calculations again depend on whether the odds are
positive or negative. To convert positive odds, you simply
create a fraction by putting the relevant number over 100 and
then simplifying the fraction if possible.

300/100 is simplified to 3/1

To convert negative odds, you create a fraction by putting
100 over the relevant number (ignoring the negative sign).
Again, you then need to simplify the fraction if possible.

100/110 is simplified to 10/11

Convert American Odds To Implied Probability

Converting Decimal Odds

To Moneyline

The method required to convert the decimal format over to the
moneyline format is dependent on whether the odds are greater
than 2.0 or not. We’ll look at how to convert odds of 2.0 or
less first. To start with, you have to carry out the following
calculation.

After doing this calculation, the odds are rounded and a
negative sign must be added.

100 / (1.95 – 1) = 105.25

To convert odds of greater than 2.00, you must start with the
following calculation.

To convert odds of greater than 2.00, you must start with the following calculation.

How To Convert American Odds To Probability

You then add a positive sign to the result, as shown in this
example.

(2.45 – 1) x 100 = 145

Positive sign added = +145

To Fractional

The first step in converting from decimal to fractional
format is to create a fraction by using the formula.

This will often create a fraction that includes a decimal,
which isn’t a proper fraction. To overcome this, the next step
is to multiply both sides of the fraction by 100. Finally, the
fraction needs to be simplified. The following example
illustrates this better than any written explanation can.

(1.45 – 1) / 1 = 0.45/1

Multiply both sides by 100 = 45/100

Simplified = 9/20

Converting Fractional Odds

Before we get into the math involved here, you need to
understand the terms numerator and denominator. In this context,
the numerator is the first number in the fraction and the
denominator is the second number in the fraction. With odds of
2/1, for example, 2 is the numerator and 1 is the denominator.

To Moneyline

There are two methods needed for converting from the
fractional to the moneyline format. The first is for when the
numerator is greater than the denominator. The following formula
needs to be used in the beginning.

A positive sign then needs to be added to create the
moneyline odds, as per the following example.

(6 / 4) x 100 = 150

Positive sign added = +150

The second method is for when the denominator is larger than
the numerator. In these cases, the following formula needs to be
used.

A positive sign then needs to be added to create the correct
moneyline odds. This is illustrated in the following example.

100 / (2 / 5) = 250

Negative sign added = -250

To Decimal

Converting odds from the fractional format to the decimal
format is relatively simple and it requires just the following
formula.

(11 / 10) + 1 = 1.10

Implied Probability Explained

Implied probability in relation to sports betting is
basically the implication of the odds as it relates to the
chances of an outcome happening. We’ll cover this in more detail
shortly, but first let’s look at how to calculate it. It’s
easiest to determine implied probability from odds in the
decimal format, using the following simple formula.

What this example shows us is that the implied probability of
2.50 odds is 0.40 (or 40% if expressed as a percentage). This
means that odds of 2.50 on any possible outcome imply that the
chance of that outcome happening is roughly 40%. So if, for
example, a tennis player is at 2.50 to win an upcoming match,
the implication is that he has a 40% chance of actually winning
that match.

You can read more about implied probability in this article on probability in sports betting. The article also
covers expected value, which is a related topic that you should definitely learn about if you want to be a
successful bettor.

Understanding Vig

When looking at the odds set by bookmakers, it’s important to
recognize that implied probability is rarely an entirely
accurate reflection of the real chances of a wager winning. This
is because bookmakers always try to set the odds at levels that
are lower than they actually should be in relation to real
probability. If their view was that a soccer team had a 60%
chance of winning a match, for example, they wouldn’t offer odds
that exactly reflected that chance. Their odds would be lower,
as this is how they make money successfully.

By reducing the odds relative to the probability of an
outcome happening, bookmakers effectively charge a commission
for every wager they take. This commission is known as vig,
which is short for vigorish. It can also be referred to as the
overround or juice. It’s similar in some respects to the house
edge in casino games and it’s basically what gives the
bookmakers an advantage over their customers.

What sets the bookmakers’ advantage apart from the casinos’
advantage is that, unlike the house edge, it can be overcome. In
order to overcome it, though, you first need to understand
exactly how vig works and the effect it has in sports betting.
You should visit our page on the subject of how bookmakers make
money, as this is all about the methods that bookmakers use to
ensure they are profitable. Charging vig is one of these methods
that we explain thoroughly.

Knowing how to convert units and bets can be very useful. If you do not know how to convert odds for their respective probabilities, you will not actually help your chances of getting away as a long term winner in the competitive world of sports betting. Understanding the likelihood of the odds being offered is the key to assessing the potential value of a particular game market. And that is just as important when considering the value that exists with regard to specific odds on a given result. If the probability is less than your own probability of a particular result, it represents a value for betting. But if you want to learn how to convert odds to probability and how to hide the probability of different odds formats, read on.

This article explains in detail how to convert the three most popular formats odds in the world – decimal, traditional and American – to their probabilities and how to convert a probability to any of these odds formats. Our Odds Conversion Calculator will also convert a odds probability. Want to know which 70% probability is represented as in “Decimal Odds”? Forest odds conversion tools will show you. Just enter the probability as one percent and our odds conversion tool will do the rest.

How to convert odds – step by step

There are three basic steps to converting odds.1. Understand the odds format by answering the question: Are the odds you want to convert Decimal, Traditional or American? 2. Convert the odds to their probability.3. Convert the probability of your preferred odds format.

For example, “Decimal Odds” of 3.00 is a 33.3% probability, which can then be converted into traditional odds of 2/1.

This article discusses this process of unequal conversion in detail using step-by-step real-life examples. If you are new to betting odds and probabilities, the table below gives a good introduction and overview.

Convert “decimal odds”

“Decimal Odds” is a simple reflection of the return you get for each unit. Let’s say, for example. Say the bet company Bethard offers 1.65 odds for Manchester United to win. This means that for every 1.00 you bet on that specific result, you get a 0.65 win if Manchester United wins.

To convert these odds to their respective probabilities, we make a simple calculation.

Convert “Decimal Odds” to probability formula:

Let’s look at an example where Diego Costa gets a yellow card where the odds are 1.65.

Example: How to convert “Decimal Odds” to the probability

Then multiply by 100 to express a probability percentage of 60.6%.

Convert traditional odds

Traditional / British odds are generally the most traditional form of betting. They are a simple reflection of the return you receive for a certain amount.

So for example, let’s say that the gaming company Ladbrokes offers 5/2 odds for a particular horse to win a race. Odds 5/2 (expressed as “5 to 2”), which means that for every 2 units you bet, you get 5 back as a win. So if you bet 200kr. On that horse, you would have received 500kr. win plus your original bet of $ 200. back.

Convert traditional odds to probability formula:

Let’s look at an example where Diego Costa gets a yellow card where odds are 5/2.

Example: How to convert traditional odds to probability

Then multiply by 100 to express a probability rate of 28.57%

Convert Moneyline Odds

Moneyline odds, also known as “US odds”, are probably the oddest odds format for us outside of North America. And at first, they seem a little confusing. Understand what these odds mean when listening to Americans talking about sports betting or podcasts. Let’s see how we can convert Moneyline odds to their respective probabilities.

There are two cases of Moneyline odds: “minus” money and “plus” money.

The first is “minus” money. This is expressed as, for example, -120. But what does that really mean? Say the game company offers odds of -120 for the Los Angeles Lakers to win a fight. This essentially says that in order to win 100 crowns, you must bet 120 kroner. In other words, if you add $ 120, you get a $ 100 profit.

The second occurrence is “plus” money. This is expressed as, for example, +180. In this case, we say that the gaming company Winner Sports offered 1-0 odds for the New York Yankees to win a game. This simply means that if you bet £ 100, you will win £ 180.

So how do we convert “minus” and “plus” moneyline odds to their probability? Let’s start with the “minus” moneyline conversion:

Convert “minus” money line odds to probability:

So let’s take an example where Titanbet offers the following odds: San Diego Chargers wins against New England Patriots with odds -120.

Example: How to convert ‘minus’ moneyline odds

Multiplied by 100, we get the probability of 54.5%.

Converting a “plus” money line is a little different. Calculate the probability of these looking like this:

Convert “plus” money line odds to probability chance:

So let’s take an example where Mr. Green offers odds +180 for the Los Angeles Lakers to win against the Miami Heat.

Implied Probability Calculator

Example: How to convert ‘plus’ moneyline odds

Then multiply by 100, we get the implied probability percentage 35.7%.

Money Line To Implied Probability

So, this was our guide on how to convert units and odds easily. If you like this article and want to stay updated with TrendMut then fill the form and click the subscribe button below.